United States Venetian New Year's Extravaganza

Poker Tournament Series at The Venetian Resort Hotel Casino

July 17, 2030 - January 12, 2025
Las Vegas
Series Softness: 0.55

Tournaments

6

Buy-in Range

300 - 1100

Total Prize Pools

640,000

Registration Fees

14.0%

Understanding Poker Performance Metrics

Tournament Analysis Explained
Our data-driven approach to evaluating tournament value

Soft Dollars

"Soft Dollars" represents the estimated value of recreational player money in a tournament. It helps skilled players identify which tournaments offer the best expected value.

What Makes Up Soft Dollars:

  • Recreational Players: Higher percentage of recreational players = more soft dollars
  • Prize Pool Size: Larger prize pools multiply the value of field softness
  • Buy-in Efficiency: Lower buy-ins relative to prize pool create better value
  • Field Size: Tournaments with optimal field sizes balance edge with variance

Field Softness

Field softness measures how "beatable" a tournament is based on the skill distribution of players. We calculate softness using Global Poker Index (GPI) data and sophisticated distribution models.

Softness Scale:

  • 0.35-0.45: Very tough field
  • 0.45-0.50: Tough field
  • 0.50-0.55: Average field
  • 0.55-0.60: Soft field
  • 0.60-0.70: Very soft field
  • 0.70+: Extremely soft field

Player Tiers:

  • Recreational: 0-200 GPI points
  • Amateur: 200-400 GPI points
  • Semi-Pro: 400-650 GPI points
  • Professional: 650-1000 GPI points
  • Elite Pro: 1000-1500 GPI points
  • World Class: 1500-2500 GPI points
  • Superstar: 2500+ GPI points

Advanced Metrics

Field Distribution:

We analyze tournament results to determine player skill distribution across tiers. For non-cashed players, we use sophisticated extrapolation models based on:

  • Series-level player distribution
  • Buy-in level characteristics
  • Tournament format tendencies
  • Historical player performance data

This gives us a complete view of the skill distribution across the entire field.

ROI Expectations:

For each player tier, we calculate expected Return on Investment by combining:

  • Field composition analysis
  • Prize pool distribution
  • Edge multipliers for different skill levels
  • Tournament structure variance

Each ROI calculation includes a confidence score based on the completeness and reliability of our data.

Data Reliability

We calculate and display confidence scores for our metrics to provide transparency. Higher confidence scores mean more reliable data and predictions.

Factors That Affect Reliability:

  • Sample Size: More cashed players = higher confidence
  • Field Coverage: Higher percentage of field with data = better reliability
  • Series Data Quality: Strong series-level metrics improve individual tournament estimates
  • Metric Consistency: Consistent patterns across tournaments increase reliability

Our Methodology

We combine data from multiple sources to create the most accurate tournament value assessments:

  • Tournament Results Data: We analyze historical placement data from thousands of tournaments to identify player skill levels.
  • Global Poker Index: We incorporate GPI data to evaluate player skill and tournament difficulty.
  • Series Analysis: We identify patterns across tournament series to model player distribution for similar events.
  • Buy-in Tier Analysis: We segment tournaments by buy-in level to detect patterns specific to different stakes.

Our goal is to provide poker players with actionable insights that help optimize tournament selection and maximize expected value.

Series Analysis

Series Metrics
Comprehensive analysis of player skill distribution and tournament characteristics

Field Composition

Series Average GPI:1057
Series Softness:0.55
Recreational Index:22.1%
Skill Gap:4.7

Financial Overview

Total Buy-ins:$3,800
Total Reg Fees:$533
Average Buy-in:$633
Fee Percentage:14.0%

Data Quality

Analyzed Tournaments:6
Reliability Score:60%
Has Mixed Games:No
Has High Rollers:No
Buy-in Distribution
Breakdown of tournaments by buy-in level
Low Stakes
Up to
4 tournaments
Softness: 0.63
Lower Mid-Stakes
$300-1100
6 tournaments
Softness: 0.50
Upper Mid-Stakes
$800-2000
2 tournaments
Softness: 0.44
High Stakes
$1500-5000
0 tournaments
High Roller
$3000-25000
0 tournaments
Super High Roller
$10000+
0 tournaments

Buy-in Range

Minimum

$300

Median

$600

Maximum

$1,100

Buy-in Tier Analysis

This series offers the most value in the Low Stakes tier with a softness rating of 0.63 and 4 tournaments.

Understanding Series Analysis

Our series analysis combines data from all tournaments to provide a comprehensive view of the series&pos; characteristics and value.

Series Softness ranges from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating softer fields. Series with softness above 0.6 generally offer excellent value across most tournaments.

Recreational Index shows the percentage of recreational players in the series, indicating how many weaker opponents you&pos;ll face.

Buy-in Distribution helps you identify which buy-in tiers have the most tournaments and the best value based on our metrics.

Our Reliability Score of 60% indicates our confidence in these metrics based on the data available.

Series Tournaments

6 tournaments with full analysis

Dec 25, 2024
$300($247 + $53)
104 entrants
$10,000 prize pool
NLHE
Unlimited Re-entry
Winner: James Golden
Dec 30, 2024
$600($506 + $94)
120 entrants
$30,000 prize pool
NLHE
Unlimited Re-entry
Winner: Iaron Lightbourne
Dec 30, 2024
$800($688 + $112)
515 entrants
$250,000 prize pool
NLHE
Unlimited Re-entry
Winner: Francis Anderson
Jan 5, 2025
$1100($990 + $110)
431 entrants
$300,000 prize pool
NLHE
Unlimited Re-entry
Winner: Carson Richards
Jan 5, 2025
$600($506 + $94)
64 entrants
$30,000 prize pool
NLHE
Unlimited Re-entry
Winner: Charles Goelz
Jan 11, 2025
$400($330 + $70)
84 entrants
$20,000 prize pool
NLHE
Unlimited Re-entry
Winner: Jesper Olsen

Venue Information

The Venetian Resort Hotel Casino
Las Vegas

The Venetian Resort Hotel Casino hosts various poker tournaments throughout the year.

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