$ 25,000 + 1,500 No Limit Hold'em - GG Million$ Live 8-Handed (Event #1)

NLHE Tournament at Maestral Resort & Casino

May 13, 2024
Softness: 0.15

Entrants

163

Prize Pool

$4,075,000

1st Place Prize

$903,000

% of Field Paid

16.6%

Montenegro Triton Poker Super High Roller Series Montenegro
Series Softness:18%
$ 25,000 + 1,500 No Limit Hold'em - GG Million$ Live 8-Handed (Event #1)
Cashed Player Softness:15%
Extrapolated Field Softness:26%
Skill Gap:2.29%
Entrants:163
Average GPI:2539
Percent of field paid:16.6%
Player TierCashed %Full Field %ROI %EdgeProfit/Loss
Recreational
0.0%0.8%-92.0%0.10x-$24,831
Amateur
0.0%2.5%-79.2%0.26x-$21,368
Semi-Pro
7.4%7.1%-64.7%0.44x-$17,473
Professional
3.7%13.1%-43.9%0.70x-$11,846
Elite Pro
11.1%22.7%-19.8%1.00x-$5,354
World Class
29.6%29.9%5.8%1.32x+$1,571
Superstar
48.1%23.8%35.5%1.69x+$9,578
Comparison:Harder than 85% of tournaments at this buy-in
Analytics by HighStakeHealth

Understanding Our Field Analysis

Our field analysis uses a proprietary methodology that combines observed cashed players with series-level data to extrapolate the complete tournament field composition.

For this tournament, we have data on 17% of the field (players who cashed). We use this data, along with series trends and buy-in level characteristics, to model the likely skill distribution of the entire field.

Field Softness ranges from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating softer fields. Tournaments with softness above 0.6 offer excellent value, those between 0.5-0.6 are average, and those below 0.5 are considered tough fields.

Skill Gap measures the ratio between top and bottom quartile players, indicating how wide the skill disparity is within the field.

Our ROI Confidence rating of 69% indicates our level of certainty in the extrapolated metrics. Higher confidence comes from larger sample sizes and more complete data.

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Comparison of all tournaments in this series

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$ 100,000 + 4,000 Pot Limit Omaha - PLO Main Event (Event #13)Montenegro Triton Poker Super High Roller Series Montenegro
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$ 50,000 + 2,000 Pot Limit Omaha (Event #15)Montenegro Triton Poker Super High Roller Series Montenegro
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ROI Analysis

Expected ROI by Skill LevelView on Hendon Mob
Projected return on investment for players across all skill tiers
ROI Confidence:
Player TierROI %
Edge
Buy-inExpected Return
Superstar35.5%1.69x$26,500$36,078
World Class5.8%1.32x$26,500$28,071
Elite Pro-19.8%1.00x$26,500$21,146
Professional-43.9%0.70x$26,500$14,654
Semi-Pro-64.7%0.44x$26,500$9,027
Amateur-79.2%0.26x$26,500$5,132
Recreational-92.0%0.10x$26,500$1,669

These ROI projections are calculated using our extrapolated field model and analysis of payout structures. ROI is shown both as a dollar amount and as a percentage of buy-in.

Edge Multipliers quantify how much advantage each skill tier has over the average player in this specific tournament. A multiplier of 1.0 represents break-even against the average field, while values above 1.0 indicate an advantage.

Our system takes into consideration

  1. Field softness:The overall skill level of the tournament field.
  2. Payout Variance:To determine how shallow the tournament structure is. Ie: high variance in payout = less skill advantage
  3. Distribution of bad players:The most complex part. Mimics natural tournament psychology. Common edge cases: Many bad players then the edge multiplier is lower to mimic less aggresive isolation plays. A few bad players then all stronger players have a higher edge multiplier against weaker players to mimic scarcity. No bad players then super strong players have more edge versus medium strength players to mimic advanced play.

Skill Tier Breakdown
Detailed analysis of each player tier in this tournament
Player Tier% of FieldGPI RangeEdgeExpected ROI
Superstar
23.8%2,500+
1.69x
35.5% ($9,578)
World Class
29.9%1,500-2,500
1.32x
5.8% ($1,571)
Elite Pro
22.7%1,000-1,500
1.00x
-19.8% ($-5,354)
Professional
13.1%650-1,000
0.70x
-43.9% ($-11,846)
Semi-Pro
7.1%400-650
0.44x
-64.7% ($-17,473)
Amateur
2.5%200-400
0.26x
-79.2% ($-21,368)
Recreational
0.8%0-200
0.10x
-92.0% ($-24,831)

Tournament Structure

Blind Levels
Blind structure and progression
No detailed blind structure available for this tournament.
Payout Structure
How the prize pool was distributed

Prize Distribution

1st Place:22.2% of prize pool
Top 3 Places:47.4% of prize pool
Percentage of Field Paid:16.6%

Structure Analysis

The payout structure was balanced with 22.2% to first place, providing good value across the final table.

With 16.6% of the field getting paid, this tournament offered a generous payout bubble, improving chances of cashing.

The payout variance of 0.91 indicates that this tournament has high variance, with results influenced significantly by luck alongside skill.

Tournament Results

Final PlacementsView on Hendon Mob
Final results for $ 25,000 + 1,500 No Limit Hold'em - GG Million$ Live 8-Handed (Event #1)
PlacePlayerCountryPrizeGPI Points
1stChris Moneymaker-903,000367.05
2ndBrian Kim-609,000293.15
3rdIgor Yaroshevskyy-419,000254.23
4thBiao Ding-341,000229.09
5thDanilo Velasevic-272,000211.18
6thAdrian Mateos-209,500197.64
7thLewis Spencer-153,000187.01
8thMorten Klein-110,500178.39
9thIsaac Haxton-91,300171.26
10thByron Kaverman-77,500165.25
11thBrandon Hamlet-77,500160.11
12thJustin Saliba-67,200155.66
13thHossein Ensan-67,200151.77
14thPhil Ivey-61,100148.34
15thPieter Aerts-61,100145.29
16thWai Chan-55,000142.55
17thPatrik Antonius-55,000140.09
18thKen Tong-48,900137.86

Advanced Metrics

Complete Tournament Analysis
Comprehensive breakdown of all tournament performance factors

Field Composition

Average GPI:2539
Observed Field Softness:0.15
Extrapolated Field Softness:0.26
Recreational Index:0.8%
Observed Skill Gap:2.3
Estimated Skill Gap:2.4
Buy-In Value Rating:0.01
Field Completeness:17%
ROI Confidence:69%

Tournament Structure

First Place %:22.2%
Top 3 Places %:47.4%
% of Field Paid:16.6%
Placement Variance:0.05
Payout Variance:0.91
Re-entry Type:Unlimited
Tournament Days:1
Players Per Table:9
Buy-in Amount:$25,000

Event Details

Format:NLHE
Registration Fee:$1,500
Starting Chips:10,000
Late Registration:Yes
Late Reg Until:Level 8
Total Entrants:163
Prize Pool:$4,075,000
Withholding:$244,500

Metrics Explanation

Extrapolated Field Softness
Calculated using our proprietary model combining observed cashed players with series-level data to estimate the entire field composition.
Buy-In Value Rating
Field softness adjusted for buy-in level. Higher values represent better value for your investment.
Payout Variance
Measures correlation between player skill and final placement. Lower values indicate skill is more reliably rewarded.
ROI Confidence
Our confidence level in ROI projections, based on sample size, field completeness, and data quality.
Field Completeness
Percentage of the tournament field for which we have direct data, affecting model accuracy.
Tier Edge Multipliers
How much advantage each player tier has in this specific tournament structure and field composition.

Related Resources

Series Information

View complete information about the Montenegro Triton Poker Super High Roller Series Montenegro tournament series, including other events, analytics, and more.

Venue Details

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