$ 1,600 No Limit Hold'em - MSPT (Event #7)

NLHE Tournament at The Venetian Resort Hotel Casino

February 9, 2025
Softness: 0.44

Entrants

892

Prize Pool

$1,000,000

1st Place Prize

$152,243

% of Field Paid

10.8%

United States Venetian DeepStack Extravaganza I
Series Softness:40%
$ 1,600 No Limit Hold'em - MSPT (Event #7)
Cashed Player Softness:44%
Extrapolated Field Softness:60%
Skill Gap:2.91%
Entrants:892
Average GPI:1676
Percent of field paid:10.8%
Player TierCashed %Full Field %ROI %EdgeProfit/Loss
Recreational
4.2%25.8%-82.6%0.24x-$1,371
Amateur
5.2%11.0%-64.6%0.49x-$1,071
Semi-Pro
10.4%16.7%-43.5%0.78x-$722
Professional
15.6%16.3%-18.9%1.12x-$313
Elite Pro
14.6%9.2%5.0%1.45x+$83
World Class
27.1%13.8%21.6%1.68x+$359
Superstar
22.9%7.2%39.8%1.93x+$661
Comparison:Harder than 56% of tournaments at this buy-in
Analytics by HighStakeHealth

Understanding Our Field Analysis

Our field analysis uses a proprietary methodology that combines observed cashed players with series-level data to extrapolate the complete tournament field composition.

For this tournament, we have data on 11% of the field (players who cashed). We use this data, along with series trends and buy-in level characteristics, to model the likely skill distribution of the entire field.

Field Softness ranges from 0 to 1, with higher values indicating softer fields. Tournaments with softness above 0.6 offer excellent value, those between 0.5-0.6 are average, and those below 0.5 are considered tough fields.

Skill Gap measures the ratio between top and bottom quartile players, indicating how wide the skill disparity is within the field.

Our ROI Confidence rating of 50% indicates our level of certainty in the extrapolated metrics. Higher confidence comes from larger sample sizes and more complete data.

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Tournaments in United States Venetian DeepStack Extravaganza I
Ranks #5 of 5

Comparison of all tournaments in this series

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0.73
$ 600 No Limit Hold'em - MonsterStack (Event #3)United States Venetian DeepStack Extravaganza I
0.52
$ 1,100 No Limit Hold'em - MonsterStack (Event #14)United States Venetian DeepStack Extravaganza I
0.47
$ 1,100 No Limit Hold'em - MonsterStack (Event #29)United States Venetian DeepStack Extravaganza I
0.47
$ 1,600 No Limit Hold'em - MSPT (Event #7)United States Venetian DeepStack Extravaganza I
0.44

ROI Analysis

Expected ROI by Skill LevelView on Hendon Mob
Projected return on investment for players across all skill tiers
ROI Confidence:
Player TierROI %
Edge
Buy-inExpected Return
Superstar39.8%1.93x$1,600$2,261
World Class21.6%1.68x$1,600$1,959
Elite Pro5.0%1.45x$1,600$1,683
Professional-18.9%1.12x$1,600$1,287
Semi-Pro-43.5%0.78x$1,600$878
Amateur-64.6%0.49x$1,600$529
Recreational-82.6%0.24x$1,600$229

These ROI projections are calculated using our extrapolated field model and analysis of payout structures. ROI is shown both as a dollar amount and as a percentage of buy-in.

Edge Multipliers quantify how much advantage each skill tier has over the average player in this specific tournament. A multiplier of 1.0 represents break-even against the average field, while values above 1.0 indicate an advantage.

Our system takes into consideration

  1. Field softness:The overall skill level of the tournament field.
  2. Payout Variance:To determine how shallow the tournament structure is. Ie: high variance in payout = less skill advantage
  3. Distribution of bad players:The most complex part. Mimics natural tournament psychology. Common edge cases: Many bad players then the edge multiplier is lower to mimic less aggresive isolation plays. A few bad players then all stronger players have a higher edge multiplier against weaker players to mimic scarcity. No bad players then super strong players have more edge versus medium strength players to mimic advanced play.

Skill Tier Breakdown
Detailed analysis of each player tier in this tournament
Player Tier% of FieldGPI RangeEdgeExpected ROI
Superstar
7.2%2,500+
1.93x
39.8% ($661)
World Class
13.8%1,500-2,500
1.68x
21.6% ($359)
Elite Pro
9.2%1,000-1,500
1.45x
5.0% ($83)
Professional
16.3%650-1,000
1.12x
-18.9% ($-313)
Semi-Pro
16.7%400-650
0.78x
-43.5% ($-722)
Amateur
11.0%200-400
0.49x
-64.6% ($-1,071)
Recreational
25.8%0-200
0.24x
-82.6% ($-1,371)

Tournament Structure

Blind Levels
Blind structure and progression
No detailed blind structure available for this tournament.
Payout Structure
How the prize pool was distributed

Prize Distribution

1st Place:15.2% of prize pool
Top 3 Places:41.2% of prize pool
Percentage of Field Paid:10.8%

Structure Analysis

This tournament had a relatively flat payout structure with only 15.2 going to first place, distributing value more evenly among top finishers.

The tournament paid the standard 10.8% of the field, creating a balanced risk/reward structure.

The payout variance of 1.02 indicates that this tournament has high variance, with results influenced significantly by luck alongside skill.

Tournament Results

Final PlacementsView on Hendon Mob
Final results for $ 1,600 No Limit Hold'em - MSPT (Event #7)
PlacePlayerCountryPrizeGPI Points
1stAnthony Scarborough-152,243400.03
2ndDaniel Heimiller-136,124340.59
3rdRichard Green-123,936306.60
4thAlex Kim-105,000283.01
5thMichael Ung-61,821265.10
6thKfir Nahum-47,932250.78
7thStanley Weng-37,553238.91
8thDaniel Sepiol-29,734228.83
9thBrian Meadows-23,796220.12
10thKyna England-19,250212.47
11thJacob Long-19,250205.68
12thCaden Coleman-15,744199.60
13thJacob Daniels-15,744194.11
14thThomas Black-13,019189.11
15thAdam Tolander-13,019184.54
16thMyles Mullaly-13,019180.34
17thFrancis Anderson-13,019176.46
18thMartin Carnero-10,886172.86

Advanced Metrics

Complete Tournament Analysis
Comprehensive breakdown of all tournament performance factors

Field Composition

Average GPI:1676
Observed Field Softness:0.32
Extrapolated Field Softness:0.60
Recreational Index:25.8%
Observed Skill Gap:2.9
Estimated Skill Gap:3.3
Buy-In Value Rating:0.20
Field Completeness:11%
ROI Confidence:50%

Tournament Structure

First Place %:15.2%
Top 3 Places %:41.2%
% of Field Paid:10.8%
Placement Variance:0.04
Payout Variance:1.02
Re-entry Type:Unlimited
Tournament Days:1
Players Per Table:9
Buy-in Amount:$1,421

Event Details

Format:NLHE
Registration Fee:$179
Starting Chips:10,000
Late Registration:Yes
Late Reg Until:Level 8
Total Entrants:892
Prize Pool:$1,000,000
Withholding:$427,200

Metrics Explanation

Extrapolated Field Softness
Calculated using our proprietary model combining observed cashed players with series-level data to estimate the entire field composition.
Buy-In Value Rating
Field softness adjusted for buy-in level. Higher values represent better value for your investment.
Payout Variance
Measures correlation between player skill and final placement. Lower values indicate skill is more reliably rewarded.
ROI Confidence
Our confidence level in ROI projections, based on sample size, field completeness, and data quality.
Field Completeness
Percentage of the tournament field for which we have direct data, affecting model accuracy.
Tier Edge Multipliers
How much advantage each player tier has in this specific tournament structure and field composition.

Related Resources

Series Information

View complete information about the United States Venetian DeepStack Extravaganza I tournament series, including other events, analytics, and more.

Venue Details

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